CDCR projects short-term prison uptick from Prop 36; LAO says estimates likely overstated
California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation presented fall 2024 population projections that include a preliminary estimate of the impact of Proposition 36. The Legislative Analyst's Office warned the administration's method likely overestimates the effect and urged revisions for the May budget update.
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Kathy Jefferson, deputy director of the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation (CDCR) Office of Research, told the Assembly Budget Subcommittee No. 6 on March 19 that CDCR’s fall 2024 population projections include a preliminary, "below the line" adjustment to capture the potential impact of Proposition 36.
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