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Lexington 01 enrollment projections show post‑pandemic shifts; district uses multiple methods for forecasting
Summary
Dr. Rivers presented February 13 enrollment data and projections to Lexington 01 trustees, explaining the difference between average daily membership and head count, school‑level variances, preschool counts, and drivers such as charter openings and virtual schooling that affected recent trends.
LEXINGTON 01 — Dr. Rivers presented the district’s enrollment picture and projections at the Feb. 13 Board of Trustees workshop, explaining how average daily membership (ADM) differs from head‑count enrollment and how those measures affect state funding and staffing.
“Average daily membership and student enrollment are head count — they’re two different things,” Dr. Rivers said, describing how ADM reflects attendance over reporting windows and therefore drives state allocations. She told trustees that while Lexington 01 saw steady annual growth of roughly 2–3% before the pandemic, ADM peaked in 2022–23 and had since declined slightly; the 45‑day ADM cited during the presentation was approximately 26,324 and the district’s projection for the coming year was roughly 26,155.
Why it matters: ADM and enrollment projections directly determine staffing needs and state funding. Trustees were shown how school‑level…
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