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Blue Valley enrollment steady; district projects modest near‑term dip before slow growth
Summary
The district reported a head count of 21,704 for fall 2024, down about 56 students year over year, and presented a five-year forecast that shows a modest dip next year driven by a large senior class and then gradual enrollment growth tied to housing permits and mortgage rates.
Blue Valley School District staff presented the annual enrollment and five-year forecast to the Board of Education on Jan. 13, reporting a head count of 21,704 students on the district’s official count day (Sept. 20, 2024) and a set of projections based on housing and cohort patterns.
Eric Polam (district enrollment analyst) told the board the 2024 head count was about 56 students fewer than the prior year. He said cohort retention was generally positive across grade levels and that the district’s kindergarten classes have averaged around 1,400 pupils in recent years; this year’s kindergarten cohort was 1,392.
Polam described the…
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