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District 65 demography reports show multi-year enrollment decline and then stabilization; city and district say forecasts closely align
Summary
District 65 presented two demography studies (2021 and McKibben 2024) showing declining enrollment through about 2030 (a projected ~7.3% decline, roughly 401 students) then stabilization and a modest uptick toward the horizon. Officials told the liaison committee that the trend largely reflects an aging local population and birth rates below the
District 65 officials told the City School Liaison Committee Oct. 30 that two recent demography studies — an initial report in 2021 and a McKibben report completed in 2024 — show parallel trends: falling enrollment in the near term and then a flattening of that decline with a modest uptick near the end of the forecast window.
Dr. Beardsley, presenting the district—s analysis, summarized the findings: the district—s demographers project a net decline of about 7.3% (roughly 401 students) through about 2030, followed by stabilization and a late uptick in the final forecast year. The studies cite an increase…
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