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Consultants present 10‑year enrollment projections showing modest decline, urging household census
Summary
The PA Economy League reported district enrollment has trended downward and, using birth rates, housing and progression ratios, projects a modest decline over the next decade; consultants recommended a household census/survey to improve local planning and redistricting decisions.
Vincent Cannizzaro of the Pennsylvania Economy League presented the district’s enrollment study and told the board the firm’s projections indicate a modest overall decline in K–12 enrollment over the next 10 years, with variation by grade band.
Cannizzaro summarized methodology: population and housing trends, birth rates, migration, and grade progression ratios. He said the study’s projections were within industry standards (the firm reported being generally within…
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