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Planning staff: surge of apartment projects could change school enrollment; Daniels Run down by about 70 students
Summary
City planner Eric Forman told the Fairfax City School Board that three of four city schools reported membership declines versus projections, with Daniels Run falling by about 70 students; he said a pipeline of multifamily projects could add dozens to more than 100 students over several years depending on unit mix and yield ratios.
Eric Forman, City of Fairfax planner, told the school board on Nov. 10 that recent enrollment data and the city’s housing pipeline present a mixed picture: three of the four city schools saw membership declines this year versus last-year projections, while Fairfax High saw a modest increase. "Daniel's Run... we've seen a drop of 70 students," Forman said, calling it one of the largest declines among schools in the county and noting that it represents a meaningful percentage of that school's enrollment.
Forman walked the board through student-generation yield ratios used to estimate the school impact of new housing: older detached neighborhoods have…
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