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Zonda presents demographic report: housing growth persists even as kindergarten enrollment falls
Summary
Zonda presented a fall demographic report showing strong housing starts and a large inventory of vacant developed lots, but the district recorded a year‑over‑year decline of about 131 students. The firm cited schools of choice, charter and virtual growth, and homeschooling as contributors and proposed a spring mobility study to clarify where students have moved.
Consultant firm Zonda presented a fall demographic and enrollment forecast to the Montgomery ISD board on Nov. 18, describing a district with strong housing activity and lot inventory but with short‑term enrollment pressures driven by kindergarten declines and school‑choice trends.
Mister Rockey (Zonda) told trustees the local housing market has rebounded from the COVID era and noted 167 housing starts in the third quarter and 454 closings year‑to‑date in the service area covered by the report. He said the district has a substantial inventory of vacant developed lots — for example, roughly 2,500 lots in the Lincoln and Lone Star areas — which provides supply for future housing and potential enrollment growth.
Rockey noted variation in student yield by…
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