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Enrollment projections show modest near‑term decline; charters account for notable growth
Summary
District staff reported an October 1 enrollment of 84,215 and projected 83,782 for October 1, 2026, citing lower birth rates, housing trends and charter school growth; staff added the projection book will drive FY27 FTE allocations and budgeting.
District staff presented the annual enrollment history and projection book, telling the board that the October 1 actual enrollment was 84,215 students and that the district projects 83,782 students on October 1, 2026.
Crystal Michaelis, who led the presentation, said the district saw a net decline of 542 students year over year: "elementary of 867, middle schools increase 1,109, and then decrease in high schools of 786," highlighting that a new Sage Canyon middle…
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