St. Mary's County reviews CIP, warns of shrinking debt margin as state outlook worsens

St. Mary's County Commissioners · November 19, 2025

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Summary

County finance staff presented an updated five‑year capital plan, reported $3.8 million in reserves and projected debt margins shrinking under current priorities; state fiscal pressures and reduced transportation capacity tightened local funding choices.

Vonetta Van Cleef, St. Mary's County chief financial officer, opened the continuation of capital improvement plan (CIP) briefings with a review of reserves, active capital and debt capacity. "Reserve balance as of 10/31/25 was at $3,800,000," Van Cleef said, and she told commissioners active capital projects including bond issuance total approximately $517.7 million for FY26.

Van Cleef described a methodological change the CIP work group adopted earlier this year that phases large projects and removed placeholder out‑year items; she said that change reduced the current plan by about $7.5 million. On debt, Van Cleef said outstanding debt projected through FY26 is about $218.8 million with a debt margin projection of roughly $100.9 million; a planned $30 million bond issuance in FY27 would raise outstanding debt projections to about $236.9 million and — under the current prioritized plan — could see the county’s debt margin decline to roughly $38.9 million by 2031.

The CFO flagged a recent Department of Legislative Services (DLS) update showing the Maryland general fund outlook has deteriorated by an estimated $1.6 billion since the close of the 2025 session and said DLS identified an $84 million capital gap that affects school construction, community colleges and facility modernization. "Almost all" near‑term transportation revenue is expected to support maintenance and debt service, Van Cleef said, leaving little room for expansion or strategic upgrades that local jurisdictions had hoped to pursue.

Commissioners pressed staff on whether current bond authority is sufficient. Van Cleef said it is adequate for FY26 and FY27 under the current plan but cautioned that changes to priorities or additions to the list will require revisiting bonding levels. Staff said the county will update debt‑capacity calculations and return to commissioners after today’s direction and again at the next CIP meeting.

Next procedural steps for the CIP timeline were set: staff will present to METCOM in January, reconvene the commissioners on the CIP in February, present to the Planning Commission on March 19, hold a public hearing April 21, and aim to finalize the five‑year CIP and budget in May.