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CDRPC projects modest enrollment declines; kindergarten cohort grows to 544
Summary
Capital District Regional Planning Commission projections show total enrollment at 9,274 this year (down 81), kindergarten at 544 (up 27), and a projected 9,232 students next year; housing trends and UPK demand were presented as context.
Madison Hirschkel, GIS and data analyst with the Capital District Regional Planning Commission, presented Shenendehowa’s 2025–26 enrollment projections on Nov. 18.
Hirschkel said total district enrollment this year is 9,274 students, a decline of 81 from the previous year, while kindergarten enrollment is 544 — a 27‑student increase. Using survivor multipliers (grade‑to‑grade retention ratios) and birth data, the CDRPC…
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