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DELC warns 5% cuts would shrink childcare supply; ERDC structural deficit could exhaust funds by Jan 2027

Joint Interim Committee on Education (subcommittee) · November 18, 2025
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Summary

The Department of Early Learning and Care told the subcommittee a 5% cut in state/other funds would be about $60 million and likely reduce childcare slots, especially in rural areas. DELC estimated ERDC (employment‑related daycare) funding could run out by January 2027 and proposed limited federal carryforward use and administrative savings as partial mitigations.

Carrie McCann, interim director of the Department of Early Learning and Care, and Deputy Director Cooper Brown told the joint interim education subcommittee that DELC's budget is about $1.5 billion and the agency modeled 2.5% and 5% reduction scenarios. Brown said a 5% reduction in state and other funds would equal roughly $60 million and that 91% of DELC’s budget is grant and aid, meaning reductions at that level would require programmatic cuts that would directly affect children, families and providers.

DELC emphasized licensing and health and safety functions would be held harmless because they are mandated and because reducing licensing capacity has long‑term rebuild costs. Brown described programmatic approaches that would "toggle down" capacity (reduce slots) for large programs such as ERDC (employment‑related daycare), OPK/Preschool Promise and Preschool Promise slots rather than altering program scope.

McCann and Brown also described ERDC’s structural deficit: policy changes and expanded eligibility in recent years raised program caseload and costs; DELC reported it had instituted a wait list in November 2023 and that caseloads remain at record levels. When asked what would happen without containment, McCann stated: "We believe that funding will run out of January 2027." Cooper Brown said DELC projects about $47 million in CCDF carryforward and proposed using a portion (they described proposing to use $20 million of general fund ERDC budget moved to federal fund in the 5% scenario) as one mitigation while warning that those moves would not resolve ERDC’s long‑term structural issues.

Members raised concerns about program closures, workforce impacts, and the economic ripple effects if childcare supply shrinks. DELC acknowledged that cuts would likely reduce slots in rural counties and could lead to childcare program closures; the agency also highlighted consequences for parents’ ability to work, provider viability, and supports such as Healthy Families Oregon and Relief Nurseries.

What comes next: DELC will provide the committee more detail on specific program impacts, proposed vacancy holds or freezes, and scenarios for leveraging federal carryforward funds; members said the agency’s proposals will factor into broader budget prioritization and revenue discussions this winter.