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Davis fiscal commission backs Willow Grove assumptions but asks council for more study on absorption, fire-station costs and revenue sharing

Davis Fiscal Commission · November 7, 2025
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Summary

The commission found the Willow Grove fiscal impact analysis generally reasonable but voted to ask the council and planning commission for an independent absorption study, to re-examine the assumption that a fourth fire station is needed, to refine a 50/50 annexation revenue-sharing placeholder and to consider funding options for park and open-space maintenance.

The Davis Fiscal Commission on Monday reviewed the Willow Grove proposal, a planned 1,250-home, 232-acre residential community on the city's northeast edge, and told the city council and planning commission that the project's fiscal-impact assumptions are "generally reasonable" while requesting additional studies on several high-impact assumptions.

Eric Lee, the city's senior planner, asked the commission to review the fiscal-impact analysis and funding mechanisms for open-space maintenance. Matt Cota of Bay Area Economics, who prepared the analysis for the city, said the model projects 15 years of revenues and costs, uses a five-year absorption assumption for home construction, and tests three ways of allocating the cost for a potential fourth fire station. He said the mid- and low-cost allocations are roughly break-even over 15 years, while the scenario that allocates the entire…

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