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BASD enrollment projections show relative stability; board members raise redistricting and capacity questions
Summary
District projections show enrollment declining less rapidly than statewide trends and forecast relative stability over the next five years. Board members flagged uneven school‑level changes, prompting calls for redistricting study, capacity metrics and further analysis before budget decisions.
A district presentation on long‑range enrollment projections concluded that Bethlehem Area School District’s decline has been slower than statewide trends and that, using current inputs, enrollment is projected to be relatively stable over the next five years.
"BASD registration has decreased at a slower rate than the average," the supervisor of child accounting told the committee while explaining the projection methodology: municipal birth rates from the Department of Health, historical enrollment and survivorship rates,…
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