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District projects enrollment essentially flat; five-year outlook shows modest decline
Cornwall-Lebanon School District Board of School Directors · October 14, 2025
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Summary
Administrators presented enrollment projections using a cohort survival method and Pennsylvania Department of Health birth statistics; the Oct. 1 count was 4,896 students and five-year projections show a projected decline of about 4.85%, though short-term counts are expected to remain near 4,900.
District staff presented enrollment projections that will inform next year’s budget. Using a cohort survival model and birth data from the Pennsylvania Department of Health, the presenter said the district’s Oct. 1 count was 4,896 students (including the C3 program) and projected…
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