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Boerne ISD projects modest enrollment growth but models show a $4.3M budget gap under current assumptions

Boerne ISD Board of Trustees · May 14, 2025
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Summary

District demographer PASA projects moderate enrollment growth; staff modeling for 2025–26 shows roughly a $4.3 million general‑fund shortfall under conservative assumptions, while a recent comptroller adjustment to frozen values nets about $2.2 million this year.

Boerne ISD trustees heard enrollment projections and early budget models at the first 2025–26 budget workshop, where staff warned the district faces a mid‑single‑million‑dollar shortfall under current assumptions.

"This will be said several times during the workshop, but we're not proposing any kind of budget at this point in time," Mr. Scott told trustees as he opened the session and laid out modeling assumptions for discussion. Staff used the PASA demographer's "mini update" and conservative revenue assumptions to build initial scenarios.

The district's current enrollment was described at about 11,100 students (October snapshot). PASA presented three scenarios: a reduced projection of…

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