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Zonda forecast predicts about 585-student growth for Alvin ISD over 10 years

Alvin Independent School District Board of Trustees · April 9, 2025
AI-Generated Content: All content on this page was generated by AI to highlight key points from the meeting. For complete details and context, we recommend watching the full video. so we can fix them.

Summary

Zonda Demographics told the Alvin ISD board that, based on fourth-quarter data, the district could add about 585 students over the next decade and reach roughly 36,000 students in 10 years, with some campuses already at or above capacity.

Rocky Gardner of Zonda Demographics told the Alvin ISD Board that his fourth-quarter dataset (data through December) shows continued housing activity in the Houston market that will drive student enrollment in the district.

"I'm forecasting 585 students" in the 10-year horizon, Gardner said, and projected the district could have just over 33,000 students in five years and about 36,000 in 10 years. He told trustees the projection reflects both turnover in existing housing and new housing starts, and cautioned that cohort yields have slipped…

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