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Regional 1906-earthquake scenarios warn of large casualties and economic loss; professionals urge preparedness
Summary
A multi-presenter conference reviewing scenarios for a repeat of the 1906 earthquake estimated large-scale casualties, widespread building damage and economic losses potentially exceeding $120 billion, and urged investments in mitigation, resilient critical facilities and coordinated regional recovery planning.
Experts at a regional anniversary conference reviewed modeling and preparedness recommendations addressing what a repeat of the 1906 earthquake could mean for the Bay Area.
Presenters described two scenarios: a 1906-based rupture reconstruction and a modeled magnitude 7.9 San Andreas event. Animated ground-motion maps showed rapid propagation of strong shaking across the peninsula and the Bay Area. The analysis used improved HAZUS-based models and updated…
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