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City outlines El Nino planning assumptions, ConOps timeline

Disaster Council · September 21, 2015
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Summary

Mike Dayton, the city's EMS director, told the council the city is planning for marathon storm periods, potential mudslides and power outages based on 1997'98 events, and expects a revised concept of operations by Nov. 1.

Mike Dayton, the city's EMS director, briefed the council on El Nino planning assumptions and operational preparations, citing the 1997'98 event as a planning touchstone.

"If the predictions hold true, we really anticipate seeing a lot of mudslides," Dayton said, noting that in 1997'98 Highway 1 south of Pacifica closed, low-lying areas flooded and at one point as many as 80,000 San Francisco residents were without power.

Dayton said planners expect marathon-style series of storms rather than single events, and described steps the Department of Emergency Management will take: convening focused planning groups this month on communications and operations, meeting with the Interfaith Council on Oct. 2, and delivering a revised concept of operations by Nov. 1. He also noted past operational lessons, including a prior ConOps used for winter storms.

The briefing emphasized coordination with the National Weather Service and state and federal partners; conference calls will be convened to assess forecasts and decide whether to activate response phases. Staff flagged that shelters and temporary housing would be part of operational plans, and that outreach to vulnerable populations will be important if extended outages occur.

No formal motions or budget actions were taken at the meeting; the update described operational next steps and scheduled planning milestones.