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SFUSD demographers warn of thousands of new students by 2023; Bayview among fastest-growing areas
Summary
A district presentation of enrollment projections estimated that San Francisco Unified could add 7,000–12,000 K–12 students by 2023 when existing and new housing are combined, with the Bayview, South of Market and Treasure Island accounting for a large share of future students.
District demographers presented a multi-method enrollment forecast to the San Francisco Board of Education on Sept. 29, 2015, projecting continued growth in student population through existing household trends and major new-housing developments.
Executive Director Orla O’Keefe summarized the methodology: demographers used birth-to-kindergarten ratios, grade-to-grade progression, and student yields (students per housing unit) from anticipated housing projects to build low- and higher-yield scenarios. The report…
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