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San Francisco Budget Office and Controller Warn of Long‑Term Shortfall Despite Near‑Term Improvement
Summary
The mayor’s budget office and the Controller’s Office told the Budget and Finance Committee that one‑time savings and deferred debt reduced near‑term gaps but structural pressures — rising health and pension costs, voter‑mandated baselines and uncertain state/federal funding — leave larger deficits in years three through five.
Supervisor Malia Cohen convened the Budget and Finance Committee for a hearing on the city’s updated five‑year financial plan, where the mayor’s budget director and the Controller’s Office outlined a smaller shortfall in the next two budget years but a larger cumulative deficit in the later years of the plan.
Melissa Whitehouse, the mayor’s budget director, said the March update builds on the December draft and will inform the June 1 budget submission. “We put out the five year financial plan in December, the draft,” Whitehouse said, and the update focuses on the deficit projection, drivers, recession scenarios and federal and state funding uncertainty.
At the hearing Whitehouse and Controller’s Office representative Michelle Eller Smyth emphasized two dynamics: near‑term improvements driven by one‑time revenues, midyear savings and deferred debt service, and longer‑term structural pressures. Whitehouse reported projected general fund revenue growth of $541,000,000 and projected expenditure growth of $1,400,000,000 over the plan…
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