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Consultants warn shifting poverty proxies, CEP participation could move millions in state aid
Summary
APA’s study team showed that adopting direct certification or other alternative poverty counts — or rising participation in the Community Eligibility Provision (CEP) — would materially change the distribution of Arkansas’ at‑risk counts and could raise or lower ESA formula costs by millions, depending on district participation.
The Senate Education Committee heard detailed modeling showing that alternative poverty proxies — and community eligibility provision (CEP) participation — can produce large redistributions of state aid.
Mark Fermanek and colleagues presented five alternative counts tested for Arkansas: straight direct certification; direct certification scaled by a federal multiplier (1.6) and an alternative multiplier (2.1); the U.S. Census poverty count for children ages 5–17; and a Title I‑style count that mixes census poverty with individual risk factors. They showed that direct…
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