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Colchester board gets preliminary FY26 picture: state letter flags ~6% average tax increase and $2B statewide education spending
Summary
District staff walked the school board through an Agency of Education letter used to estimate FY26 tax impacts, showing a roughly 5.9% average property-tax increase statewide and a preliminary $1.9–2.0 billion rise in education spending; officials said key inputs (ADM, CLA adjustments) remain uncertain.
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School finance officials told the Colchester School Board the Agency of Education’s preliminary November letter sets variables that complicate FY26 tax-rate forecasting and suggest a statewide average property-tax increase near 5.9%.
District staff explained how the AOE aggregates supervisory-union and district projections to an approximately $1.9–2.0 billion figure for increased education spending; that statewide total, combined with a changed formula for the homestead property yield and common-level-of-appraisal (CLA) adjustments, drives uncertainty in local tax-rate estimates.
Staff noted the homestead property yield was shown in the letter declining from about 900,893 to roughly 800,553 in the initial projection and said the AOE has incorporated a statewide CLA adjustment that blends local CLAs to reduce year-to-year volatility. The district highlighted that the per-pupil state average used in statewide comparison was cited at about $14,000, with a wide range across districts.
Board members asked how Colchester’s budget numbers feed into the statewide total. Staff walked through an example: Colchester’s edge-spending contribution (illustrative $54 million) is aggregated with peers to produce the nearly $2 billion figure. Staff emphasized that final Adult Daily Membership (ADM) numbers and other inputs are still pending and said they expect the agency to provide a long-term weighted ADM for Colchester by the board’s December 17 meeting.
The presentation closed with a proposed timeline: staff will bring scenarios at future meetings, the board planned at least two January budget meetings and discussed a January 21 target to warn the budget, while acknowledging that AOE guidance and possible legislative changes could alter outcomes through spring.
No formal vote was taken on budget assumptions at this meeting; board members requested clarification from the AOE and additional scenarios for future meetings.
