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Demographers tell Lexington 1 to expect steady enrollment growth and localized overcrowding
Summary
A 10-year enrollment forecast presented to the board projects roughly 1.5–2% annual growth districtwide, unevenly distributed by attendance zone; the consultant warned many elementary buildings (without portables) will approach or exceed capacity by the end of the forecast window.
Demographic consultants told the Lexington County School District 1 Board of Trustees on Tuesday to plan for continued enrollment growth over the next decade and to expect uneven pressure on facility capacity across the district.
Christopher Dix, CEO of Demographic Analytics Advisors, presented the district's demographic study and a 10-year enrollment forecast that he said is the product of historical enrollment patterns, births, migration, and known development pipelines. "We are forecasting... about anywhere from a 1 and a half to 2%…
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