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Superintendent: NESDAC projections off by dozens; committee warned against relying solely on model for staffing
Summary
The superintendent told the School Committee that NESDAC projections have recently undercounted students (42 fewer forecast than actual this year), urged caution in basing personnel and budget decisions on the model alone, and said he will make full enrollment data available to the public.
The superintendent presented the district's NESDAC enrollment report and told the School Committee the decline in anticipated enrollment has slowed and is flattening. He said the district has a full report available to the public and pointed committee members to a snapshot "on page 4" for tracking cohort trends.
The superintendent cautioned that NESDAC projections are not infallible. He noted that last year the model projected 2,144 students but…
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