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Planning commission reviews 2025 build‑out analysis, previews AC 44 capacity tool
Summary
Albemarle County staff presented a 2025 land‑use build‑out analysis and a draft AC 44 digital tool showing a county theoretical build‑out decline from just over ~24,000 units in 2022 to 21,644 in 2025; commissioners pressed for GIS linkage to schools, roads and sewer and asked staff to return to the Board of Supervisors on Jan. 21.
Albemarle County planners on Dec. 9 presented a new 2025 land‑use build‑out analysis and an early version of an “AC 44” capacity tool intended to track how current development proposals and approvals compare with the comp‑plan’s theoretical maximum densities.
JT Newberry, senior planner in the Department of Community Development, said the county’s theoretical maximum residential capacity declined from just over 24,000 units (the 2022 analysis) to 21,644 units in the 2025 update, a drop Newberry said is partly explained by units that were taken through the development pipeline and constructed and partly by changes in which parcels qualify as developable.
The presentation opened by defining terms used throughout the study: “developable” parcels (the staff rule used here was parcels of at least 2 acres that are vacant or whose land value exceeds improvement value), “redevelopable” parcels and the “theoretical maximum build‑out” —…
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