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Early data: eighth‑edition sentencing guidelines show continued high conformity but analysts urge caution
Summary
Commission staff presented a preliminary analysis comparing 2025 eighth‑edition sentencing data to 2023 seventh‑edition results, finding about 41% of sentences in the eighth edition fall within the standard range and roughly 70% within the guideline footprint (standard+aggravated+mitigated); staff cautioned that the sample may underrepresent more serious cases.
Commission staff presented a cautious, preliminary look at how the eighth‑edition sentencing guidelines are performing in practice using the first ten months of 2025 data.
Staff noted the share of sentences in the eighth edition increased over 2024 and by the first ten months of 2025 represented roughly 60–75% of sentenced cases in the sample. Prior‑record score…
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