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Leander ISD demographers: district growth stabilizing as charter enrollment and small kindergarten cohorts reshape planning
Summary
A 10-year forecast presented by PASA showed Leander ISD moving from high growth toward stabilization, with charter schools enrolling about 3,000 local students and this year’s kindergarten class the smallest since 2007; trustees requested a cost-efficiency audit to guide staffing, redistricting and facility decisions.
Leander Independent School District trustees heard a detailed demographic and enrollment forecast from Population and Survey Analysts (PASA) on Oct. 23 that showed the district’s years of rapid growth are over and that alternative educational options are significantly changing where resident students attend school.
PASA demographer Stacy Tapira told the board that since 2019 Leander ISD has gained roughly 1,200 students but is now entering a stabilization phase rather than returning to pre-COVID high-growth rates. ‘‘The years of high growth in Leander ISD are over because of the natural demographic life cycle,’’ Tapira said, summarizing the firm’s 10-year projection and cohort analysis.
Why it matters: Trustees said the findings affect long-range planning, including whether and where to build new schools, how to staff…
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