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District demographic report: Liberty Hill sees steady housing starts; El Dorado and Lariat shape school site planning

Liberty Hill ISD Board of Trustees · December 4, 2025
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Summary

Superintendent and staff presented a demographer’s quarter report showing steady home building and large numbers of vacant lots; the district said El Dorado’s first houses are expected Sept. 2025 and Lariat is identified as the next elementary site, and staff reiterated that water access and interest rates will affect growth timing.

At the Oct. 24 meeting, Liberty Hill ISD staff reviewed a quarterly demographic report and outlined how housing and infrastructure forecasts will shape future facility needs.

Superintendent Steven Snell and demography staff told trustees the district recorded roughly 1,649 home closings and 1,690 starts in the reporting window, and that the region has about 3,000 vacant developed lots with an estimated 8,000 lots in a broader ‘future’ category. The district said it maintains an inventory of roughly 1,000 unsold homes and is planning school sites in growth areas.

Presenters singled out the El Dorado subdivision — where the district has a school site identified — and said developers expect the first finished house in September 2025. Lariat, with Georgetown water, was identified as the likely location for the next elementary school; other large developments (Butler Farms, River Ranch) are constrained by water access.

Superintendent Snell cautioned that the demographer projects a steady 1,000 new homes per year for the foreseeable future but noted a possible slowdown between 2026 and 2028 depending on water availability and interest rates. Staff said an elementary school is planned for the 2026–27 school year and another middle school is expected in the same timeframe to address projected crowding.

Board members discussed attendance‑boundary timing and the unknowns west of State Hwy. 183 where water infrastructure remains the gating issue. No formal action was required, but trustees emphasized the importance of timely boundary planning and site acquisition as development timelines firm up.