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Demographer warns of sustained elementary enrollment decline; projects about 405 fewer students in five years
Summary
Tom Williams, the district demographer, told the Belmont-Redwood Shores School District board that falling births and smaller kindergarten cohorts will likely reduce enrollment by about 101 students next fall, 143 in three years and roughly 405 in five years, with the heaviest near-term declines at the elementary level.
Tom Williams, the district’s demographer, told trustees the district faces a continuing enrollment decline driven by a drop in local births and smaller incoming kindergarten classes. "At first we thought it was strictly pandemic related, but as the pandemic's gotten behind us, everybody's still going down," Williams said, summarizing patterns he is seeing across much of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties.
Williams laid out projections for the next five years that show the district losing about 101 students next fall, 143 students in three years and roughly 405 students in five years — with most of the decline concentrated in TK–5. He said…
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