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Demographers project continued enrollment decline for TTSD without more family‑oriented housing

Tigard-Tualatin School District Board of Directors · January 13, 2026
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Summary

Flow Analytics presented a forecast showing a recent K–12 decline of about 380 students (3.4%) and stably low kindergarten cohorts; demographers said new housing so far is not generating many school‑age children and forecasts show limited near‑term growth.

Charles Reynerson of Flow Analytics presented Tigard‑Tualatin School District enrollment projections for 2026–27 and beyond, reporting a K–12 decline of roughly 380 students (about 3.4%) in the current year and forecasting continued pressure unless the housing market produces more family‑sized units.

Reynerson said regional population growth…

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