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Darien enrollment forecast shows modest K–5 growth, high school dip; board asks capacity questions
Summary
Consultant MP Planning Group presented three enrollment scenarios for the Darien School District: a medium-case model the team favors shows modest overall growth with elementary enrollment up about 8% in five years and a high-school decline of about 6%; the board asked the administration to map projections to building capacity.
Rich Bridal of MP Planning Group presented the district’s October 1 enrollment analysis and projections at the Darien Board of Education meeting on Nov. 20, stressing that births and housing turnover are the largest local drivers.
Bridal said births have “stayed elevated” while home sales have declined since the pandemic peak, reducing turnover and new-student immigration into the district. He identified several housing projects (Rowton Heights, Corbin phase 2, Parklands Drive and Trammell Cove) and estimated recent and pipeline developments will generate about 50 school-age students overall —…
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