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Consultants tell Ogden board enrollment is declining overall but growth pockets tied to housing projects remain
Summary
Consultant MGT presented a 10-year enrollment forecast showing an unexpected drop in resident kindergarten cohorts, a net district decline projected over the near term and 29 housing projects (≈2,200 units) concentrated in a few attendance areas; district will commission a secondary school capacity study to inform decisions on Highland and Mount Ogden.
A consulting team from MGT presented a data-driven 10-year enrollment forecast to the Ogden City School District board, warning that resident birth counts and kindergarten cohorts have declined and that the district projects an overall enrollment dip in the near term.
"We are looking at a trend of declining births," presenter Marcy Horner told the board while reviewing geocoded student data, mobility and student-yield factors. The presentation combined student records, attendance-area matrices, and local housing inventories to estimate…
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