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District projects continued enrollment decline and flags Georgia Promise Scholarship as major factor
Summary
Budget staff projected preliminary enrollment of 34,417 for next year and told the committee that 427 Chatham County families accepted the Georgia Promise Scholarship in fall 2025, a leading contributor to recent enrollment losses and staffing implications for the budget.
Paige Cooley, the district's budget director, briefed the finance committee on enrollment forecasting methods and the district's preliminary projection for next year.
Cooley said district forecasts combine population data, birth rates, local housing developments, principals' observations and a professional demographer's work to model pupil counts used for state funding estimates. Based on current inputs and a conservative scenario for Georgia…
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