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Budget staff presents FY2027 revenue model; sales tax projected up, property tax net declines due to debt service

Budget and Finance Committee · January 10, 2026
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Summary

City staff presented an early FY2027 revenue model showing all-funds revenues of $252.7M (down ~5.1%), a general fund forecast of $124.2M (down ~4.1%), sales tax forecast of $69.9M, and a projected drop in net property tax to the general fund mainly from higher assumed debt service tied to an upcoming bond. The Board will consider a proposed increase in the hotel/motel tax on Feb. 24.

City budget staff on Jan. 8 presented the initial revenue model that will guide the FY2027 recommended budget and the committee's upcoming departmental hearings. Skye Gerhardt, the management fellow, said the city is forecasting all-funds revenues of $252,700,000 for FY2027, down from $267,400,000 in FY2026, a year-over-year decrease staff attributed mostly to the end of ARPA and other one-time fund-balance uses.

"In fiscal year 2027, we are forecasting $252,700,000 as compared to $267,400,000 in FY 2026," Skye said, and noted the January estimates are intentionally conservative and will be revised as more actuals arrive.

Staff projected general fund revenues at $124.2 million for FY2027 versus $129.6 million in FY2026 (a decrease of about $5.4 million). Skye…

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