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Education consensus estimates show mixed headcount and weightings; state aid dips in near term

Committee on Appropriations · January 15, 2026
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Summary

KLRD reported fall consensus education estimates showing a small decline in foundation aid in FY26–FY27 driven by lower headcount and stable weightings, while FY28 projections rise under current school‑finance law because weightings are expected to increase.

Jennifer Light, senior fiscal analyst with KLRD, briefed the Committee on Appropriations on the fall 2025 education consensus estimate. Light said the document provides estimates for FY26, FY27 and FY28 and assumes the school‑finance formula continues unchanged into FY28.

Light reported per‑pupil base aid for FY26 at $5,615 and explained FY27 and FY28 amounts incorporate a CPI‑U three‑year average for calculations. She said state…

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