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Stantec model shows adding public‑safety positions would accelerate reserve depletion; council looks at PST, FSA and one‑time reserve options
Summary
A live Stantec model run showed adding the police and fire staffing requests would create an $11M 2027 gap under current assumptions; council discussed offset choices (reallocating charter‑school PST, raising PST to 10%, raising the fire‑service assessment toward ~90–100%, or applying $29M one‑time unassigned funds) and asked staff for scenario snapshots.
Cape Coral — During an extended modeling session at the Jan. 30 budget workshop, Stantec presented a five‑year general‑fund forecast and ran live scenarios that showed how staffing, tax and assessment choices affect the city’s fund balance.
Peter Napoli of Stantec started from the adopted 2026 baseline ($262 million revenues, $262 million expenses) and a starting fund balance of roughly $90 million (a $60 million budget stabilization reserve plus about $29 million unassigned). The model used conservative revenue growth (4.5% taxable‑value increases in early years in the baseline) and faster expense growth (personnel and benefits). Stantec also applied an execution factor (95%) reflecting that actual year‑end spending historically comes in below budgeted amounts.
Under the baseline (current millage and PST, no…
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