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FutureThink study shows projected enrollment decline; board adopts budget calendar for FY27
Summary
Superintendent presented FutureThink enrollment and facility data projecting roughly an 8% decline in district enrollment over 10 years and new mapping tools to inform facility and budget planning; the board adopted a budget calendar and scheduled a budget work session Dec. 10.
The superintendent presented early findings from a FutureThink facility and enrollment study that projects an approximate 8% decline in Page County school enrollment over the next decade and provided interactive maps showing student home locations by school/district. The tool and data will inform facility-capacity decisions and budget planning as the division faces declining Average Daily Membership (ADM).
Why it matters: Enrollment influences state funding (ADM) and staffing models. The superintendent said the division has lost 527 students since 2016–17 and that current ADM (2,816) is below the budget baseline (2,830). FutureThink projections and home-mapping features were shown as tools to evaluate building capacity, bus routes and possible consolidation scenarios.
What the board approved: Members adopted the FY27 budget calendar, which schedules a budget work session at 5:00 p.m. on Dec. 10 and sets a goal of finalizing the division budget in March with a target of May 14 for approval.
Next steps: Staff will continue budget development informed by FutureThink data; the superintendent and administration will bring follow-up materials during the budget work sessions and present recommended options for facilities and staffing adjustments as required by projected enrollment changes.
