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La Canada Unified poll shows narrow path for $185M Prop 39 bond; board leans toward $30 per $100,000 for June
Summary
Consultants told trustees a $185 million Prop 39 bond tested at 58% support at a $50 per $100,000 tax rate but fell under pressure from negative arguments; True North Research and TeamCivics recommended lowering the rate to the mid-$20s–$30s and the board signaled support for a June ballot at about $30 per $100,000.
La Canada Unified School District trustees heard on Tuesday that a $185 million Prop 39 bond has a “qualified yes” path to passage but will likely require a lower tax rate and robust outreach to succeed.
Tim McLarney, president of True North Research, told the board the firm completed 466 interviews in late November–December 2025, producing a sampling margin of error of about ±4.4 percentage points. An initial ballot test of a $185 million bond at $50 per $100,000 of assessed value returned 58% support, McLarney said, noting, “I think the answer to that is a qualified yes. It’s a yes, but.” He cautioned that presenting the tax rate explicitly and exposing voters to negative arguments drove…
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