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San Rafael presents three long-term sea-level rise options; study estimates up to $2 billion in costs and potential displacement

City of San Rafael (public presentation) · February 5, 2026
AI-Generated Content: All content on this page was generated by AI to highlight key points from the meeting. For complete details and context, we recommend watching the full video. so we can fix them.

Summary

City presentation summarized a feasibility study of three adaptation alternatives (shore elevation, a tidal gate with pumps, and fill/redevelopment), estimated protection for 11,000–13,000 residents, preliminary costs up to $2 billion, and recommended near-term protective actions and further planning to limit displacement.

San Rafael city staff and consultants presented a two-year feasibility study outlining three broad strategies to reduce flood risk in the Canal neighborhood and along the city’s bayfront.

At a public forum, Patricia Fonseca Flores, architect and director of consulting firm CMG, described three alternatives analyzed by the study: (1) elevating shorelines with continuous walls and a rebuilt bay levee; (2) installing a tidal gate at the Canal mouth paired with a new pumping station; and (3) gradually acquiring and raising shoreline parcels with engineered fill and rebuilding structures. Fonseca Flores said each approach carries trade-offs on cost, time to build and community impacts. “Estimamos que cada solución podría costar hasta 2000000000 de dólares,” she told…

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