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BVSD projects continuing enrollment decline; LRAC urges regional, not single-school, responses
Summary
District planners told the board that BVSD enrollment has declined about 1.9% this year and could fall by roughly 1,700 students over five years; the Long Range Advisory Committee recommended regional approaches, while board members pressed for transparent engagement and acknowledged major uncertainty in projections.
Boulder Valley School District leaders told the board on Feb. 10 that enrollment has continued to fall and that elementary schools will drive most facility and staffing pressures in the coming years.
Glenn Scruggs, the district senior planner, said the district recorded a roughly 1.9% enrollment decline in 2025—about 500 students—and that cohort-survival projections show an estimated net decline of about 1,700 students over the next five years. "We use the cohort survival method," he said, and stressed projections depend on assumptions about births, new housing and open-enrollment flows.
Jeff Anderson, co-chair of the Long Range…
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