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Rebuilding Ukraine: construction and energy needs present opportunities, GoBiz presenters say

Governor’s Office of Business and Economic Development · August 9, 2024
AI-Generated Content: All content on this page was generated by AI to highlight key points from the meeting. For complete details and context, we recommend watching the full video. so we can fix them.

Summary

Presenters told a GoBiz webinar that Ukraine’s reconstruction is already generating demand for construction, energy and municipal projects; Ukrainian government estimates cited a potential $600–$750 billion reconstruction need while international reports estimate nearly $500 billion for select periods.

Consultants leading a California trade mission said the scale of Ukraine’s reconstruction is already large and will create sustained demand for construction materials, energy solutions and municipal infrastructure.

Karolina Kaptur, senior manager at AHP International in Warsaw, said rebuilding “is expected to be the largest reconstruction and modernization project since the Second World War,” and that some critical projects are already underway. Kaptur referenced Ukrainian government statements placing overall reconstruction needs in a broad range—“about $600 to $750 billion”—and said international organizations such as the World Bank, United Nations and European Commission have produced reports that estimate needs near $500 billion for specified timeframes.

Dmytro Pankratov, territory lead for AHP International in Ukraine, outlined sector-level demand. He said prewar installed generation capacity was about 56 gigawatts and that roughly 60% of energy generation capacity has been damaged or destroyed by attacks, creating urgent needs for power restoration and a longer-term shift toward renewables and distributed generation.

On construction, Pankratov reported 2023 construction activity near $4.45 billion—roughly half prewar levels—and said the sector employs about 300,000 people. He identified priority areas for U.S. firms as rapid restoration of energy infrastructure, residential and municipal housing, hospitals and schools, warehouse and logistics projects, and specialized work such as demining and road reconstruction.

Presenters recommended market entry through local partners, pilot projects and municipal engagement, and said municipalities often work with international financial institutions such as the World Bank and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development to fund projects. “Some projects are already happening this year because…if some critical infrastructure has been destroyed, it is absolutely urgent to restore it immediately,” Kaptur said.

Ending: organizers said the trade mission program will allow participants to meet municipal and national officials, private-sector partners and international stakeholders to identify feasible bids and pilot opportunities.