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WSDA outlines economic modeling tool estimating up to $1 billion in losses under severe water‑short scenarios

Columbia River Policy Advisory Group · January 22, 2026
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Summary

The Washington State Department of Agriculture described a drought assessment tool that couples an agricultural production model with IMPLAN; early Columbia Basin estimates show over $1 billion in total economic losses and more than 10,000 jobs at a 50% water‑supply scenario. Phase 2 will calibrate inputs for Yakima Basin and produce reports on 2024 and 2025 drought impacts.

Jacqueline Hancock, a water resources scientist at the Washington State Department of Agriculture (WSDA), presented a drought assessment tool that combines a profit‑maximizing agricultural production model with an IMPLAN input‑output module to estimate direct, indirect and induced economic impacts of water‑supply scenarios.

Hancock described the tool’s first deployment (Columbia Basin project) and said the model compares supply scenarios (70% versus 50% water supply). In the first application the team estimated total economic losses…

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