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State's new housing allocation method would more than double Lake Oswego's 20‑year need to about 4,850 units, staff warns
Summary
At a Feb. 23 Planning Commission meeting, city staff said a statewide housing‑capacity method adopted in late 2024 would raise Lake Oswego's 20‑year housing allocation from about 1,968 units to roughly 4,850, prompting discussion of rezoning, capacity and what state enforcement might look like.
Lake Oswego officials were briefed Feb. 23 that a newly adopted statewide housing‑capacity methodology would substantially increase the city's 20‑year housing allocation and could reshape upcoming rezoning and planning work.
Eric Olsen, the city's long‑range planning manager, told the Planning Commission that under the new statewide OHNA system "the city's projection of housing need over that 20 year time frame would more than double" — from roughly 1,968 units in Lake Oswego's 2023 HNA to "closer to 4,850 units" under the state methodology. Olsen said the state framework, adopted in late 2024, accounts for historical underproduction, homelessness and second/vacation homes and allocates need across jurisdictions using regional methods and transit/access weighting.
The shift matters because Lake Oswego tied its Housing Production Strategy (HPS) to the earlier analysis: the city adopted an HPS…
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