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Enrollment forecast: RSP projects about 340 new students in five years; ESAs and housing shape planning
Summary
RSP presented a five-year enrollment forecast showing roughly 340 additional students districtwide, with most growth in elementary and high school grades; the firm cited lower birth rates, new Education Savings Accounts and local housing as key variables and agreed to provide follow-up data and a correction to the report.
Jenna Wallace of RSP told the North Polk Community School District board that the firm’s five-year enrollment forecast projects the district “increasing by about 340 students,” with approximately 150 more elementary students and 150 more high-school students, and relative stability in middle grades.
The presentation, which relied on district, city, county and census data, outlined the model’s main inputs: live-birth trends, grade-to-grade progression, in- and out-migration, and open-enrollment patterns. Wallace said the model breaks the district into granular planning areas so officials can see where new housing will most affect capacity. She…
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