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Sonoma County budget forecast shows modest deficit for FY 2026–27; insurance and HR1 drive uncertainty
Summary
County budget staff projected a roughly $4.7 million general fund deficit next year under status-quo assumptions and warned that insurance and federal/state policy changes (HR1) could worsen deficits; supervisors discussed liability costs and legislative outreach.
County budget staff presented a five-year general fund forecast on Friday that shows a status-quo projected deficit of about $4.7 million for FY 2026–27 and a risk of substantially larger shortfalls under a mild-to-moderate downturn scenario.
Peter Broulin, the county’s budget manager, told the board that rising insurance costs are a major near-term driver: employee health insurance costs are projected to increase…
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