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PSU forecast: Astoria’s population is aging and school-age cohorts are projected to shrink
Summary
A Portland State University forecast presented to the Astoria SD 1 board showed the share of residents 65+ rising from about 14.6% in 1980 to roughly 23.6% now and projected declines in the 0–4 and school-age cohorts through mid-century, a trend that could pressure future enrollment and district planning.
The board received a Portland State University population and enrollment forecast showing an aging local population and projections of fewer school‑age children in coming decades.
A board presenter summarized key PSU findings: the share of residents aged 65 and older has increased significantly (from about 14.6% in 1980 to roughly 23.63% in the most recent data), and fertility and birth projections suggest fewer young…
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