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Bryan ISD study: new homes likely won’t offset falling kindergarten cohorts immediately
Summary
A PASA demographic study presented to the Bryan ISD board projects about 13,100 new residential occupancies over 10 years but finds a low district average of 0.37 students per home, meaning new housing alone may not restore early‑grade enrollment without cohort stabilization, the consultants said.
Chris Poole, a consultant on the district’s demographic study, told the Bryan ISD board the district should expect substantial new housing but only modest near‑term student growth.
"We are projecting 13,104 new residential occupancies over the coming 10 years with over 86% of those in traditional single family," Poole said, and added the district’s current average student‑per‑home ratio is about 0.37. That average, he said, masks wide variation: some subdivisions are at or above 1.0 students per home while many new in‑town developments have very low ratios.
Why it matters: The board is using the projections…
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