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Consultant tells Avon Grove board preliminary enrollment study shows long-term declines and capacity to absorb program changes
Summary
Crabtree Rohrbaugh presented early findings showing 13 of the last 20 years had enrollment declines, several anomalous years, and varied class-size distributions; consultants said the district currently has sufficient seats but further analysis will refine projections and explore scenarios tied to facility usage.
An outside firm presenting to the Avon Grove School District told the board its preliminary enrollment and facilities analysis shows long-term variability with notable declines in many years but no clear evidence the district is over- or underbuilt.
Larry Lovato, an architect and educational planner with Crabtree Rohrbaugh, said the firm is using multiple projection models and will analyze pre-pandemic, pandemic and post-pandemic windows to determine a best-fit baseline. "We look at historic enrollments, census data, housing starts and…
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