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Enrollment forecast shows declines at most neighborhood schools; committee weighs consolidation
Summary
A Flow Analytics enrollment forecast presented to the committee projects declines across nearly all elementary, middle and high schools over 10 years (with a few stable exceptions), prompting discussion of consolidation, capacity reallocation and requests for cost-per-school analyses before recommendations to the board.
Flow Analytics demographer Alex (speaking remotely) told the Greater Albany Public Schools facility-planning committee that districtwide enrollment is projected to decline over the next decade, with most neighborhood elementary schools, middle schools and both high schools showing lower enrollment in the 10-year forecast.
"Enrollment at every neighborhood school is expected to decline in the 10 year period for the elementary schools except for Takina and Tangent, which are expected to remain relatively stable," Alex said. He explained the forecast methodology uses grade progression ratios, student-generation rates and housing-development…
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