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Consultants present 10-year growth and CIP assumptions for upcoming impact-fee update
Summary
Kimley Horn consultants told council the impact-fee update uses a 10-year planning window and conservative, development-based growth assumptions (about 1.4% annual growth, nearly 12,000 people and ~5,000 households over 10 years) and outlined proposed roadway, water and wastewater CIPs and a schedule for draft reports and adoption.
Consultants from Kimley Horn presented land-use assumptions, growth projections and capital-improvement plans that will underpin Flower Mound's upcoming impact-fee update for roadway, water and wastewater service areas.
Pete Kelly and Kyle Sanderson said the update uses a 10-year window for impact-fee recoverable infrastructure and is oriented around known and planned development. The consultants summarized their methodology: inventory parcels, classify uses into four categories (basic, service, retail, residential), and project growth using concept plans, developments under review, and conservative assumptions. They reported a 10-year projection of just under 12,000 additional persons and just under 5,000 additional households, consistent with a 1.4% annual growth rate.
The presentation described proposed adjustments to service areas (combining some wastewater areas into a single Denton Creek service area), updated roadway service-area maps, and a list of impact-fee-eligible CIP projects (new road segments, widening and median-lane projects, and intersection improvements). From the water/wastewater perspective, consultants said some East-Side potable-water projects dropped from the 2020 list as buildout proceeds, while West-Side infrastructure needs were updated based on recent master-plan work.
Council members asked how pending state statutory changes (for example, bills that might allow higher-density housing on commercial lots or permit accessory dwelling units) should be incorporated. The consultants said methodologies are evolving, recommended conservative, market-driven assumptions, and noted that statutory five-year updates are required but can be done sooner if trends warrant. The consultants proposed next steps: present to P&Z, publish draft reports on Dec. 22 (statutory requirement), continue work sessions, and aim to adopt new impact fees and the CIP by April 6.
The council requested additional statistical detail and modeling options to show the potential infrastructure impacts if state laws change and increase redevelopment intensity.
